Louisville basketball: Examining the fall out from back-to-back losses

LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY - FEBRUARY 08: Lamarr Kimble #0, Malik Williams #5 and Dwayne Sutton #24 of the Louisville Cardinals huddle during the final seconds of the game against the Virginia Cavaliers at KFC YUM! Center on February 08, 2020 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Silas Walker/Getty Images)
LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY - FEBRUARY 08: Lamarr Kimble #0, Malik Williams #5 and Dwayne Sutton #24 of the Louisville Cardinals huddle during the final seconds of the game against the Virginia Cavaliers at KFC YUM! Center on February 08, 2020 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Silas Walker/Getty Images) /
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LOUISVILLE, KY – JANUARY 25: David Johnson #13 and Ryan McMahon #30 of the Louisville Cardinals look on in the second half of a game against the Clemson Tigers at KFC YUM! Center on January 25, 2020 in Louisville, Kentucky. Louisville defeated Clemson 80-62. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
LOUISVILLE, KY – JANUARY 25: David Johnson #13 and Ryan McMahon #30 of the Louisville Cardinals look on in the second half of a game against the Clemson Tigers at KFC YUM! Center on January 25, 2020 in Louisville, Kentucky. Louisville defeated Clemson 80-62. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images) /

CBS Sports –

Last week: No. 2 seed 

Jerry Palm took Louisville’s two losses pretty seriously this weekend moving the Cards down in seeding further than any other updated bracketology that I reviewed. After being on the two-line on Friday, Palm moved the CArds all the way down to a four seed while keeping them in the Midwest bracket, meaning a trip to Indy could be in play.

This is a pretty far fall considering teams have lost tons of games this season and not been docked like this, but when you look at recency bias and where the Cards lost it makes sense.

I’ve been saying this for a few weeks now, but as we get closer to the end of the season I’m going to start screaming it. Louisville should want no part of a four or five seed in the NCAA Tournament, not in a year where there’s a ton of parody and teams in the top 25 have fallen left and right to mid-majors.

Teams like East Tennessee State, Liberty, and Yale (or Harvard), amongst others, are more than capable of pulling off major upsets in the first round of the NCAA tournament and turning it into a big run. The two-three line is where the Cards want to find themselves as the quality of the opponent drops significantly from the 12/13 seed to the 14/15 seed. The no. 1 seed in Louisville’s bracket remains Kansas, who is likely to finish second in the Big 12, and the team most likely to be a one seed that I don’t want to face.

I don’t necessarily agree with Palm in terms of the Cards falling so far, but at the same time, it’s hard to argue that losses to Georgia Tech and Clemson aren’t a tad alarming.