Louisville football is on an absolute hot streak right now, as the Cardinals started the season 2-3 after losing consecutive conference games, but now they've won four straight. The Cards have scored 44 points or more in three of their last four games and have won by 24 points or more in three of their last four games.
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Louisville is steamrolling right now, and a lot is clicking as we approach the middle of November. Jeff Brohm and the Cardinals are focusing on one game at a time, but it is hard not to peek at that final matchup against Kentucky.
Louisville and Kentucky have a historic rivalry, and this year's game looks like it will be one of the best in a long time. The Wildcats were ranked as high as No. 6 last week in the College Football Playoff rankings, but ESPN Analytics sends a message about this Week 13 matchup, as they see an upset brewing.
Louisville is early favorites over Kentucky for Week 13 matchup
Kentucky has been one of college football's biggest surprises this year, as few expected Will Stein and the Cats to be ranked No. 6 in the first CFP rankings. They will certainly drop after losing to Tennessee, but Kentucky sits third in the SEC with a 7-2 record and has a chance to make the playoffs if they win out.
However, their path to win out isn't going to be easy, especially with Louisville on their schedule. Louisville has dominated this matchup the past couple of seasons, and the Cards are looking to keep it that way. Louisville beat Kentucky 41-14 in 2024, then shut the Cats out 41-0 last year, and Cards fans hope for a similar result in 2026.
Louisville fans get the upper hand early in this matchup, as Kentucky may hold the better record, but ESPN Analytics sends a loud message about how they feel about Louisville and this explosive offense, favoring Brohm’s Cardinals on the road against Kentucky as of Tuesday, Nov. 14.
Louisville is the slight favorite right now, with a 55.3% chance of winning, according to ESPN. And yes that isn’t a dominant favorite, but it says a lot about how ESPN Analytics feels about Kentucky and how they feel about Louisville.
Some may think Kentucky might be the slight favorite in this matchup based on where they were ranked and the fact that they are home this year, but the Cardinals are the slight favorite, and that speaks volumes about both squads.
Louisville has been dominant since their two-game skid, ranking 6th in the nation in points per game (40.8) and 8th in the nation in rushing yards per game (228). The Cardinals are trying to secure their fourth straight season with eight or more regular-season wins and their second season with at least nine.
This should be a thrilling Week 13 matchup, as both schools are fighting for a spot in their conference championship. ESPN lists Louisville as the slight favorite, and if both teams go 2-0 in the next two weeks, the Cardinals could crush any dream Kentucky has of making the CFP for the first time.
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